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Consumptive, Soh and PCM 'Guessometer' Ranges

ciaranob

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Summary

1) PCM 'Guessometer' or 'GoM' Ranges using current SoC are the most optimistic and are calculations (predictions) biased towards the most efficient ride pattern recorded from a subset of your most recent trips.

2) Range derived from consumption data from your cars total trip history will provide an equivalent full SoC range that will always be lower than the max. Guessometer range.

3) With the correct OBDII tool you can get a reasonably accurate estimation of your SoH (how much you HV Battery has degraded). This will allow you to determine usable kWh and thus provide another measure of potential range at 100% SoC.

PCM range estimates should by default be considered maxima - despite oddly enough, something that is presented to you every time you start up your car, it is in reality simply a range you might attain with very diligent, efficient driving but otherwise quite optimistic. By contrast, if following an active PCM navigation route/PIRM estimates of SoC on arrival are in fact very accurate as in this special case the car is reacting to as-is conditions both in respect driving style but also terrain/climate etc. This is a distinctly different case to the Dash reported range and SoC when not using an entered active navigation route.
____________________________________

Some Data

This chart records my entire trip history up to Sep. 2023. Data points in blue are calculations of max. range based off the reported consumption used for that trip. In green are max. ranges for a sample 50 charge sessions (consistent SoH) calculated by the PCM (Guessometer) for an equivalent 100% SoC (I always charge to 85% and use the associated GoM range to calculate range for 100% SoC).

Clearly the GoM Ranges are distinctly higher than those calculated using average consumptive data. However this should not be a surprise!

Porsche Taycan Consumptive, Soh and PCM 'Guessometer' Ranges Screenshot 2023-09-25 at 11.11.57 AM


There has been a lot of back and forth on the range the PCM calculates and displays in your dash vs what can be calculated in respect kWh consumed over miles driven etc. - PCM 'Guessometer' vs actual 'Consumptive' range. The key differentiator here being that the GoM only uses recent driving trips and from these determines you most efficient driving style/terrain covered to (I believe) calculate a 'theoretical' maximum range if you stick entirely to that efficient driving model. By contrast consumptive data whilst averaged for each trip does not differentiate inefficient vs efficient trips and thus any Range calculation from these data will of course be lower than the 'theoretical' GoM predictions.

A key and very important exception and validated by numerous forum members, is the ability of the PCM Navigation trip planner/PIRM to predict arrival SoC from an entered map route which seems to be highly accurate. Without a mapped route, the PCM in not knowing what terrain you are about to drive or exactly how aggressive or passive you are about to be in your driving stye, it simply instead calculates a theoretical potential maximum range should you decide to drive in the most efficient way you have recorded/demonstrated to date for those predicted miles.

So again, when we calculate range from average efficiency numbers we are obviously not going to see the predicted maximums provided by the GoM. These efficiency averages are just that - they are derived from your full driving history not the last few trips, and are not showing/providing what the actual min-max or variance is around those averages. So again, we should of course expect ranges derived from average consumptive kWh per mile to be less than those provided by the GoM.

As an aside, it is worth noting the following in your warranty booklet:

Porsche Taycan Consumptive, Soh and PCM 'Guessometer' Ranges Screenshot 2023-09-25 at 8.27.45 AM


The Baseline Soh thread on this Forum most definitely highlights the last point i.e. heat stress is the biggest factor in battery degradation (for a host of physical and chemical reasons beyond scope here). Note too that simply having your car sit in extreme hot climates will still degrade your battery i.e. it is not simply miles driven (in fact you could argue active cooling systems better protect the battery when being driven vs sitting static in heat!). Perfect example is my and another local Hot Climate zone car with identical Soh degradation with my car having less than half the miles driven.


Measuring SoH

Some ways to measure Soh for Consumptive/Soh derived range:

OBDII Tool:

The OBDII tool lists two useful measures (and we have multiple PIWIS 'quick' ECU reads that exactly match and validate equivalent OBDII data to date):

1) your current HV Battery 'Soh' or State of Health and
2) current 'Battery Energy' - basically kWh remaining of usable battery power at your current Battery SoC (State of Charge).

Example (real case) Forum car:

OBDII SoH reads = 88%
Note: A new Taycan with PB+ has 86.7 kWh (not the published 83.7) unbuffered or usable battery energy.
So with 12% degradation this car's current usable battery energy at 100% SoC is 86.7*.88 = 76.3 kWH.

PCM SoC at time of OBDII measurements = 75%
OBDII Battery Energy value reads = 57.15 kWh
So we can separately derive this car's current usable SoH from Battery Energy and SoC as 57.2/0.75 = 76.3 kWh

I've derived close to identical results using the total kWh I have charged my car to date and miles driven over 2 years (yes I logged it all!) and the driver SOH is within error of the above methods. You can do this on a per trip basis (but no longer averaging over car's history but simply over one trip) and get analogous results.


Range

Now when we calculate Range using averaged consumptive data provided by our cars (via MyPorsche app) we get values (as discussed above) that are always quite a bit lower than the GoM max. potential ranges (excluding active navigation estimates).

My current total car history consumptive average is 36.7 kWh per 100 miles.
Using mi per Kwh = 100/(kWh per 100mi), this is equivalent to 2.73 miles per kWh.

My 'Battery Energy' data (OBDII term for available usable KWh at reported SoC), as by coincidence in the example above, also calculates to 76.3 kWh based on my SoH of 88%.
So an average Range based off my car's current usable kWh and average consumption history would be:
(76.3/36.7)*100 = 207.9 miles
Again just a 'simple' average (using compound averages) but pretty close to original Porsche published range for the car :) - the actual max. attained range in the spread about this real consumptive mean is as high as 260 miles on a full charge (when you consider 21" wheels, generally fast driving and AC always on, this is quite good imo).


Apologies, a bit overly verbose and less than succinct - but also arguably too simplistic as many variable not discussed!

Hopefully helps to differentiate different range estimates as derived and how/why they can be substantially different.

Cheers, C.
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Archimedes

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I disagree on the second point about total trip data, at least in my experience. In my car, the total miles per kwh data has consistently overstated my range, while the guessometer has been consistently accurate. I’ve been tracking my actual mileage range, both locally and on trips. The guessometer has been almost dead on.
 

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My current total car history consumptive average is 36.7 kWh per 100 miles.
Using mi per Kwh = 100/(kWh per 100mi), this is equivalent to 2.73 miles per kWh.
I coincidentally downloaded yesterday all data from MyPorsche website.

Porsche Taycan Consumptive, Soh and PCM 'Guessometer' Ranges Screenshot 2023-09-25 at 20.49.44


Average consumption appears as 17.8 kWh/ 100 km(?), however when i sum up all individual data, i end up to a more realistic 22.6 kWh/ 100 km (very close to yours 22.9 kWh/ 100 km...)

I wonder what maths they used to compute this (too low) average...
 
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WattTurbo

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I coincidentally downloaded yesterday all data from MyPorsche website.

Screenshot 2023-09-25 at 20.49.44.png


Average consumption appears as 17.8 kWh/ 100 km(?), however when i sum up all individual data, i end up to a more realistic 22.6 kWh/ 100 km,(very close to yours 22.9 kWh/ 100 km...)

I wonder what maths they used to compute this (too low) average...
HA! I've told @ciaranob the exact same thing this morning.
 

Gru

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I also tried to get some conclusions (?) on average consumption.
- in green, when I did more than 300km on a single charge. Max is 412 km (highway - slow average speed)
- in orange, when average speed was above 120km/h (75 mph)

It won't surprise you that consumption increases in winter ?... and with speed?

Porsche Taycan Consumptive, Soh and PCM 'Guessometer' Ranges Screenshot 2023-09-25 at 20.57.33
 


WasserGKuehlt

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I've no doubt that Porsche can measure power drawn by the motors - ie energy explicitly expended on motion. That would exclude any other consumers (A/C, lighting etc.), it would make for a lower consumption figure and still be "technically correct".
 

Gru

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... but cheating.

In that case, why would they use a method for the total average, and another one for the individual charges ? where is the logic ?
 
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ciaranob

ciaranob

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Apologies all - I sort had a few thoughts this AM (after chatting with Kevin :)) and summarized them here but sort of dropped the 'thread bomb' and ran away :)

Have been mad busy but will def share my thoughts to the discussion shorty - all in I prefer to have the best guess derivations from our best estimate of available battery energy than some of the more 'obscure' calculated outputs we all try to use from the proprietary PCM. Hence my other focus on SoH and determining usable kWh but as I mentioned above, there are truly a LOT of variables at play as we all know!
 


WasserGKuehlt

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... but cheating.

In that case, why would they use a method for the total average, and another one for the individual charges ? where is the logic ?
<speculation>
Lifetime consumption is probably a very simple "energy dispensed to motors"/"total distance driven".

Individual "trips" are very likely time-based sampling of SoC at the start and end of the interval, divided by the distance driven. This, then, would include the energy spent on heating/cooling (and anything else), and so would be higher. (An extreme example would be letting the car bake in the sun, and "driving" it a few yards every 30min or so for a few hours. By their logic, this would be coalesced into 1 "trip". So long as it ends before midnight.)
</speculation>

I'm not excusing the practice, just opining on what might explain the difference.
 
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ciaranob

ciaranob

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<speculation>
Lifetime consumption is probably a very simple "energy dispensed to motors"/"total distance driven".

Individual "trips" are very likely time-based sampling of SoC at the start and end of the interval, divided by the distance driven. This, then, would include the energy spent on heating/cooling (and anything else), and so would be higher. (An extreme example would be letting the car bake in the sun, and "driving" it a few yards every 30min or so for a few hours. By their logic, this would be coalesced into 1 "trip". So long as it ends before midnight.)
</speculation>

I'm not excusing the practice, just opining on what might explain the difference.
Exactly - any of these PCM generated averaged outputs imo are hugely dependent on car specific driving style, trip lengths and ambient conditions (climate, terrain, road surfaces, city/highway etc etc). In respect comparisons between cars for determining max. ranges etc. there is limited utility as all we are seeing is a range of driving styles and how it impacts overall range. This is NOT a measure of the actual capability of the car in respect what the max. potential range you can get from any Taycan - the sort of thing a 'hyper-mileing' test might achieve.

I posted the chart below a long while back just to illustrate how variable or 'erratic' individual trip data (for my car) is in respect efficiency etc. - was interesting simply because, being in Houston, I could essentially 'fix' a host of variables like climate (constant!), terrain (flat!), AC (always on), tire size, road conditions etc. which basically left my driving style and trip lengths as key factors effecting the variations in the data.

Bottomline is that your average Total Trip efficiency simply reflects of course your driving style which in itself is useful to you but not necessarily that useful to others with very different use cases :)!



Chart and text from older post:

Porsche Taycan Consumptive, Soh and PCM 'Guessometer' Ranges Screenshot 2023-09-26 at 8.02.55 AM


This chart uses reported kWh/100mi or energy used (Eu) in blue per recorded trip for a PB+ to calculate a predicted 100% SoC range (Rp) using both the published 83.7 kWh (green) and what is considered the actual usable capacity of 86.7 kWh (pink) i.e. of course this assumes constant level of efficient/inefficient energy draw from the battery:

So Rp = (83.7/Eu) x 100 or (86.7/Eu) x 100

e.g. an Eu of 37.7kWh would give a calculated range of 222 or 229 mile range. This is 23.6 kWh per 100 km. A 60 kWh draw would give a range of 139 miles or in metric 37.5 kWh per 100 km.

This method of calcualting the range is of course biased towards extremely inefficient short trip data (based both on driving style and on my trip length-duration data). The predicted range data (Rp) calculated from the recorded per trip kWh’s used (Eu) go from as low as 70 to a high of 250 miles with the bulk of the data between 160-220 miles. The longer range predictions here (230-250 miles) are clearly tied to the 10 or so longer (over 75 miles), more efficient trips and the chart just re-emphasizes that trip length and driving style have a fundamental control on any ‘predicted’ ranges whether based on the PCM post-charging calculation or as in this case derived from kWh per trip data and remaining capacity of the available kWh of the battery’s capacity.

The bulk of the ‘predicted’ ranges here are very low but these data must again be regarded as a more pessimistic use scenario i.e. they are based on scenarios which assume I would continue to drive very short distance/duration trips at low average speeds in Normal Mode with full AC for a full 83.7 or 86.7 kWh usage. The key point here being that you should not consider short trip derived range predictions as any useful indicator of your car’s ability to do far better during long range driving.

I can fairly confidently state that in my usage case that the combination of trip length and driving style are the principle variables controlling my range predictions vs impact of weather, terrain, load etc., as I have driven the car near 100% of the time with other parameters essentially fixed - they being:

AC on full,
21” wheels with summer performance tires
Texas low relief terrain (minimal elevation gains)
40:60 time between 1 vs 2 person load
Full seasonal cycle data
etc.

Overall my driving stlye can be described as ‘inefficient’ as I drive very ‘purposefully’ (not slow!), 90% in Normal/10% in Sport mode never using Range mode, always quick from a standstill, always with AC on, trip history dominated by short trips etc.
 
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ciaranob

ciaranob

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My observed loss in Soh = my loss in average seasonal max. GoM range.

Here is my latest on comparing my % drop in Soh vs % drop in average GoM Range predictions (yes we know how 'volatile' the latter can be but if averaged over a season at least of more use in comparisons!).

Below a zoom in on my SoC chart just highlights a Summer-to-Summer season comparison and basically the % drop in Soh near perfectly matches the % drop in max. 'potential' or predicted range.

PS: I suspect I still need to get a run of cooler weather this year to be a more fair comparison so will re-evaluate whenever the heck that happens (we are still in mid-ur 90's F every day - hottest August and September on record!).

Porsche Taycan Consumptive, Soh and PCM 'Guessometer' Ranges Screenshot 2023-09-27 at 5.17.50 PM
 

rs38

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cannot find the right thread, where we discussed the bullshit "total trip"consumptions...of the PCM

this should be #1 in lowest, is it?

(7.22 mi/kWh or 13.8 kWh/100mi)

Porsche Taycan Consumptive, Soh and PCM 'Guessometer' Ranges 1728123299991-xv
 

Jasper4S

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cannot find the right thread, where we discussed the bullshit "total trip"consumptions...of the PCM

this should be #1 in lowest, is it?

(7.22 mi/kWh or 13.8 kWh/100mi)

1728123299991-xv.jpg
You drive like a grandpa if true ?
 
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Gru

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16.9kWh/100 km.... ridiculous

Porsche Taycan Consumptive, Soh and PCM 'Guessometer' Ranges 1000028893
 

Jasper4S

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Porsche Taycan Consumptive, Soh and PCM 'Guessometer' Ranges IMG_4177
Mine seems to be realistic. I only don’t understand the chart, this is the total trip, but I see two bars in the bar chart. Never did a reset and I’m the first owner
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